C-Suite Network™

Categories
Growth Investing Real Estate

When to use leverage in negotiations

Negotiation is at the heart of the real estate investing business. Doing it well requires sound analysis and and a solid understanding of a counterparty’s motivations. Together, these elements bring out a calm, patient confidence that enables a company like Alliance out-maneuver a substantially bigger corporation.

A few years ago, Alliance purchased a midwestern shipping facility operated by one of the world’s leading logistics companies. With an investment-grade tenant paying above market-rates, the property looked great. But there was a catch. The tenant was demanding lower rent, and the seriousness of that demand caused the owner to sell his property at a modest valuation. With the lease term about to end, our investment opportunity was the risk/reward of the upcoming  lease renewal negotiation.

Our research showed that there were few comparable properties in the region, so moving to an alternative facility was not an easy option. The tenant had some legitimate complaints about the facility, but they had to be secondary concerns. Location, size, and infrastructure mattered more, and we had that covered. Alliance’s deep dive into the local market gave us confidence that the tenant would want to stay much more than they were letting on.

The second key to our successful negotiation was correctly understanding the counterparty’s motivations. In this case, mid-level managers were negotiating on behalf of their large corporate employer. My long experience in business told me this: Managers are rewarded when they can reduce costs, so they have a strong incentive to negotiate hard. On the flip side, a failed negotiation would leave them scrambling to find a replacement, with major costs attached. That would reflect poorly on the negotiators, so their incentive was to push hard, right up to the edge of the cliff. But they must not go over the edge.

This understanding of the counterparty’s situation gave us confidence to hold on the line on rent. We spent a full year negotiating the new lease, and we never gave in, despite considerable risk to Alliance if the deal fell through. As costly as it would have been for us, it would have been worse for the tenant, and that told us we could make a deal.

Negotiation requires give and take, and Alliance could not expect to have things all our way. In exchange for keeping the same (already high) rent, we agreed to address all the tenant’s complaints, like fixing the gutters, paint, and parking lot. This created a win-win. The tenant’s negotiators could report success in winning needed capital improvements, funded by Alliance. Alliance was able to secure a long-term lease at the same favorable rate.

In the end, we created a gem of a resale property. An investment grade tenant, locked into a long term deal, at a high rental rate. Our capex costs and the time and effort we put into the negotiation were rewarded with a great increase in valuation. We sold soon after, at an IRR of 16%. This success reflected great research, execution, and a correct read of the counterparty — a deal I am truly proud of.

Categories
Capital Growth

Investing when you face supply constraints

Residential real estate prices are hitting record highs, even with interest rates still up. How is this possible?

Homes haven’t gotten nicer. Prices are up because people aren’t selling. Without available inventory, the market is illiquid. 

Usually, when people think of illiquid markets, they worry about inability to find a buyer and having to sell their property for a loss. This does happen, but market illiquidity can work in either direction. Knowing whether the market favors buyers or sellers is crucial.

Currently, there are fewer houses for sale and prices always reflect supply and demand. The same dynamics apply in commercial real estate, perhaps even more so. But the question of a buyer’s or seller’s market is local.

All real estate is hyper local, and commercial real estate even more so. A family has many choices of where to live, but businesses have a smaller menu of options. A medical practice needs a particular kind of building in a particular geographic area, for example.

These illiquid markets are tricky to navigate, but they also have a lot of opportunity. Knowing when to buy and when to sell is the key, and Alliance excels at this. 

The Alliance team is great at assessing what inventory is available, and what inventory will be available in the future. Not every property is on the market at the same time, so we aren’t comparing properties against everything in a region. We’re focused on those that are on the market, or could be on the market in the near to medium term.

There are only so many good locations. But properties can also be repurposed. On the flip side, a particular area can get oversaturated. The market can only bear so many gas stations at a particular intersection or grocery stores in a neighborhood.

Illiquid markets offer an advantage to the investor who keeps the flexibility to take the better side of the deal. Alliance does this by maintaining a strong network of equity investors and never over-leveraging. This way, we have the capital to buy when it’s a buyer’s market and we’re never forced to sell. We build our great returns on this strong financial foundation.

As always, understanding supply and demand is the name of the game. Alliance does this as well as anybody in the market, and that means we can make illiquid markets work for us.

Categories
Capital Growth Strategy

Taking your time with due diligence

Measure twice, cut once.

That’s a good motto for construction, and for investing.

For some, due diligence means box checking, and a desire to “close the deal”.

For Alliance, the goal is to confirm that it is a property worth acquiring and what the right price should be.

A good diligence requires you to gain a deep understanding of the context. I like to take my time with due diligence.

I make a point of personally visiting every single property, before Alliance buys it. I want to see it with my eyes. I want to walk the neighborhood and get a feel for the local community and infrastructure

I always ask to sit down face-to-face with the seller, tenants, selling agent, and other stakeholders.

It’s incredible what you can learn when you know the right questions to ask… and make the time to ask them in person.

Not everything important is on paper, and Alliance goes the extra mile to learn what we can.

Of course, it doesn’t matter how good a property is, or how thorough our diligence, if the price is wrong. The numbers absolutely must work, so we apply rigorous financial guardrails around the deals we will do.

Any real estate professional can run a decent financial analysis. Staying disciplined is much harder. At Alliance, we are willing to be creative, as when we started buying for cash up front. But we remain extremely careful about the preferred returns we promise investors, the cash buffers we’ll need to protect investments, leverage ratios, and our exit plans. 

Over many years, Alliance has built a sterling reputation. We don’t over-leverage, don’t over promise, and don’t ask investors to bail us out with additional cash infusions. We look at every deal, apply only appropriate levels of creativity, and accept that sometimes, the numbers simply don’t work. Our willingness to walk away is why we deliver consistently excellent returns.

Wishful thinking has been the undoing of countless investors. With our rigorous diligence process and financial guard rails, Alliance won’t fall into that trap. Optimism is for gamblers. Top level investors focus on discipline.