Years ago, I took my three year-old to her second dentist appointment. I wasn’t expecting any problems because she had dealt with her first appointment like a champ and I had assumed that the first one would be scarier than the second one. And the second appointment went swimmingly–in fact, she seemed uncommonly cheerful when I told her where we were going. Then. when we got home, she asked, “When do we go to the party?”
She hadn’t been invited to any party, so I had no idea why she was asking that. After some back and forth and some head-scratching conversation with her mom, we realized that she had indeed attended a friend’s birthday party following her first dental appointment, so she had put those events together into one firm (and happy) memory and now was expecting the other shoe to drop after seeing the tooth doctor again.
We were able to explain to her that there was no party for her today, and she understood, but it caused me to recognize something all of us human beings do–and not just when we are three years old. We tend to impute meaning to coincidences. This is deadly when making data-driven marketing decisions.
I heard a story–don’t know if it is true–that back in the summer of 2012, the Sprint social media team was happy when their positive mentions starting increasing dramatically. At least at first. A little digging showed them that the mentions were about the Olympics and that the happy conversations around the word “sprint” in that context was not something they should take personally.
Another time, I showed a set of results to a client and told them we had tested them and that they were 90% accurate. The client took a quick look at the first 10 results on the screen and insisted, “That can’t be true–look, the first one is wrong!” The other nine were correct, which is what 90% means, but he distrusted the system anyway.
These examples probably seem silly to you–because they are mistakes you didn’t make. But I see clients performing unnatural acts with numbers all the time just because no one is really thinking about what they mean.
One former client told me that they use their web analytics to see the conversions related to every piece of content in their system so they know what the best content is. Unfailingly, the “best” content was for their best-selling products. Maybe you think that products are best sellers due to marketing content alone, but I have my doubts.
Instead of using simple correlations of which pages lead to conversions, perhaps they need to dig deeper, as the Sprint team did, to really understand their numbers. If you are ready to dig deeper–to think in a new way–you can use AI analysis to remove a lot of spurious correlations to get to the underlying causes of what is going on. Once you do that, you can really work on improving the right things.
But if you keep thinking the same old way, someone might have to tell you that there is no party for you today.
Mike serves as a senior strategist for Converseon, a leading social listening technology company based in New York City. He is also a senior strategist for SoloSegment, a site search and customer experience software company. Mike is also an executive consultant for the Consultant's Collective and a Program Director for the Conference Board. Mike currently serves as a member of the Board of Directors of SEMPO, is a Certified Speaking Professional (CSP) in the National Speaker's Association, and a Senior Fellow for the Society of New Communications Research.
Mike spent 30 years at IBM, rising to Distinguished Engineer, an executive-level technical position. Mike held various roles in his IBM career, including eight years at IBM’s customer-facing website, ibm.com, most recently as the Manager of ibm.com Web Experience, where he led 65 information architects, web designers, webmasters, programmers, and technical architects around the world.
Mike's newest book is Outside-In Marketing with James Mathewson, covering Big Data and Content Marketing. He is co-author of the best-selling Search Engine Marketing, Inc. (with fellow search marketing expert Bill Hunt), now in its Third Edition. Mike is also the author of the acclaimed Internet marketing book, Do It Wrong Quickly, named one of best business books of 2007 by the Miami Herald. Mike founded and writes for Biznology®, a daily blog devoted to digital marketing.
In addition to Mike’s broad technical background, he holds an Advanced Certificate in Market Management Practice from the Royal UK Charter Institute of Marketing and is a Visiting Lecturer at the University of Virginia’s Darden School of Business. He also teaches at Rutgers Business School and is a Distinguished Instructor at the University of California Irvine.
|Mike Moran is an expert in digital marketing, especially content marketing areas, such as personalized websites, search, and social media. Mike also has a 40-year background in technology with a dozen US patents, specializing in machine learning, natural language processing (NLP), and other AI techniques, as well as search technology.
Mike serves as a senior strategist for Converseon, a leading social listening technology company based in New York City. He is also a senior strategist for SoloSegment, a site search and customer experience software company. Mike is also an executive consultant for the Consultant's Collective and a Program Director for the Conference Board. Mike currently serves as a member of the Board of Directors of SEMPO, is a Certified Speaking Professional (CSP) in the National Speaker's Association, and a Senior Fellow for the Society of New Communications Research.
Mike spent 30 years at IBM, rising to Distinguished Engineer, an executive-level technical position. Mike held various roles in his IBM career, including eight years at IBM’s customer-facing website, ibm.com, most recently as the Manager of ibm.com Web Experience, where he led 65 information architects, web designers, webmasters, programmers, and technical architects around the world.
Mike's newest book is Outside-In Marketing with James Mathewson, covering Big Data and Content Marketing. He is co-author of the best-selling Search Engine Marketing, Inc. (with fellow search marketing expert Bill Hunt), now in its Third Edition. Mike is also the author of the acclaimed Internet marketing book, Do It Wrong Quickly, named one of best business books of 2007 by the Miami Herald. Mike founded and writes for Biznology®, a daily blog devoted to digital marketing.
In addition to Mike’s broad technical background, he holds an Advanced Certificate in Market Management Practice from the Royal UK Charter Institute of Marketing and is a Visiting Lecturer at the University of Virginia’s Darden School of Business. He also teaches at Rutgers Business School and is a Distinguished Instructor at the University of California Irvine.
|Mike Moran is an expert in digital marketing, especially content marketing areas, such as personalized websites, search, and social media. Mike also has a 40-year background in technology with a dozen US patents, specializing in machine learning, natural language processing (NLP), and other AI techniques, as well as search technology.
Mike serves as a senior strategist for Converseon, a leading social listening technology company based in New York City. He is also a senior strategist for SoloSegment, a site search and customer experience software company. Mike is also an executive consultant for the Consultant's Collective and a Program Director for the Conference Board. Mike currently serves as a member of the Board of Directors of SEMPO, is a Certified Speaking Professional (CSP) in the National Speaker's Association, and a Senior Fellow for the Society of New Communications Research.
Mike spent 30 years at IBM, rising to Distinguished Engineer, an executive-level technical position. Mike held various roles in his IBM career, including eight years at IBM’s customer-facing website, ibm.com, most recently as the Manager of ibm.com Web Experience, where he led 65 information architects, web designers, webmasters, programmers, and technical architects around the world.
Mike's newest book is Outside-In Marketing with James Mathewson, covering Big Data and Content Marketing. He is co-author of the best-selling Search Engine Marketing, Inc. (with fellow search marketing expert Bill Hunt), now in its Third Edition. Mike is also the author of the acclaimed Internet marketing book, Do It Wrong Quickly, named one of best business books of 2007 by the Miami Herald. Mike founded and writes for Biznology®, a daily blog devoted to digital marketing.
In addition to Mike’s broad technical background, he holds an Advanced Certificate in Market Management Practice from the Royal UK Charter Institute of Marketing and is a Visiting Lecturer at the University of Virginia’s Darden School of Business. He also teaches at Rutgers Business School and is a Distinguished Instructor at the University of California Irvine.
- Are You Trying to “Keep Up” with Technology, or Ride It? - March 25, 2019
- AI Improves Your Website as More People Use It - January 28, 2019
- Your Response to AI Is Actually a Personality Test - January 2, 2019